Epoch AI
A data-first research nonprofit investigating the trajectory of AI and forecasting its economic and societal impact.
Year Founded
2022
Geography
North America
Address
Remote-first organization (no single public office); United States
AI Impact Areas
AI areas they serve
Areas of Focus
Trends in machine learning and compute
AI capability tracking and benchmarking
Forecasting transformative AI
Economic and societal impact of AI
AI models database
Compute and data trend analysis
Key Priorities
Track and forecast AI capabilities and compute trends
Maintain a rigorous, neutral evidence base on AI progress
Inform policymakers with data-driven AI analysis
Forecast the economic and societal impact of transformative AI
Mission
To improve society's understanding of the drivers, progress, and impact of artificial intelligence. Epoch AI builds a shared, evidence-grounded scientific foundation for thinking about AI, neutral to any specific agenda, by tracking trends in machine learning and compute and forecasting transformative AI.
Milestones
2024: Released FrontierMath, a benchmark of advanced mathematics problems for evaluating AI reasoning
2022: Published influential analysis of compute trends across three eras of machine learning; founded by Jaime Sevilla and team
Recent Updates
Flagship: the FrontierMath benchmark and the Epoch Capabilities Index. Co-founder Tamay Besiroglu departed in 2025. Disclosure: FrontierMath was funded by OpenAI.
Hyperscaler capex is on trend to outpace their cash inflows by the end of 2026
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